Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193 0.000214 0.000238 0.000265 0.000296
2025-02-16 0.000122 0.000146 0.000174 0.000210 0.000254 0.000307 0.000376
2025-02-23 0.000101 0.000128 0.000161 0.000207 0.000267 0.000344 0.000453
2025-03-02 0.000088 0.000117 0.000154 0.000208 0.000283 0.000386 0.000540
2025-03-09 0.000078 0.000108 0.000148 0.000207 0.000295 0.000423 0.000624
2025-03-16 0.000068 0.000096 0.000137 0.000199 0.000294 0.000438 0.000679
2025-03-23 0.000062 0.000091 0.000133 0.000200 0.000307 0.000476 0.000772
2025-03-30 0.000059 0.000088 0.000133 0.000207 0.000330 0.000532 0.000903
2025-04-06 0.000054 0.000082 0.000127 0.000203 0.000333 0.000556 0.000982
2025-04-13 0.000048 0.000075 0.000118 0.000193 0.000326 0.000560 0.001025
2025-04-20 0.000045 0.000072 0.000115 0.000194 0.000337 0.000599 0.001139
2025-04-27 0.000043 0.000070 0.000115 0.000198 0.000354 0.000649 0.001284
2025-05-04 0.000039 0.000065 0.000110 0.000194 0.000357 0.000674 0.001382
2025-05-11 0.000037 0.000063 0.000108 0.000195 0.000369 0.000720 0.001538
2025-05-18 0.000035 0.000060 0.000104 0.000193 0.000376 0.000756 0.001677
2025-05-25 0.000033 0.000058 0.000103 0.000195 0.000389 0.000807 0.001859
2025-06-01 0.000031 0.000055 0.000100 0.000194 0.000398 0.000850 0.002033
2025-06-08 0.000028 0.000051 0.000094 0.000186 0.000389 0.000853 0.002103
2025-06-15 0.000027 0.000049 0.000093 0.000187 0.000401 0.000904 0.002312
2025-06-22 0.000026 0.000049 0.000094 0.000194 0.000427 0.000993 0.002646
2025-06-29 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000190 0.000427 0.001018 0.002800
2025-07-06 0.000023 0.000043 0.000085 0.000181 0.000414 0.001006 0.002843
2025-07-13 0.000022 0.000042 0.000084 0.000182 0.000425 0.001063 0.003109